MAGA MATH

Will the House GOP refuse to pass Trump’s “one big, beautiful” tax cut bill? It’s looking very possible… because they don’t want to set off a political firestorm that torches their tiny majority by cutting healthcare to poor people in their own states.

• House Republicans are expected to vote as soon as tonight on a massive spending plan for the next fiscal year. They’re planning to find $2 trillion to cut — and about $800 billion of that would likely come from Medicaid over the next decade. More than 72 million poor and disabled Americans rely on the health insurance program.
• To be clear: This plan would help pay for $4.5 trillion in tax cuts, largely for the rich, and for increased border spending. Gutting Medicaid isn’t explicitly outlined in the plan, but Republican lawmakers believe there’s no other way to save that much money without taking an axe (or a chainsaw, if you will) to the program. The idea makes some Republicans queasy. “Slashing Medicaid would have serious consequences, particularly in rural and predominantly Hispanic communities,” eight GOP lawmakers wrote in a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson this month. Other Republicans in moderate districts have also raised concerns that Medicaid could be gutted.
• House Speaker Mike Johnson shot down any hope that the plan would be changed to address concerns about Medicaid cuts. “There’s nothing specific about Medicaid in the resolution,” he said yesterday. “The legislation comes later, so this is the important first start.” In private, Johnson and others searched, fruitlessly, for a Plan B.

Republicans have a razor-thin majority in the House. This single issue could change that, some of them warn.

• The MAGA math ain’t mathing. Johnson can only afford to lose a single vote if Democrats remain united against the plan… and at least four Republicans opposed the bill as of this afternoon. Even MAGA Godfather Steve Bannon is skeptical of the Medicaid cuts — or, at least, the political consequences for the GOP. “Just can’t take a meat axe to it, although I would love to,” Bannon recently said on his podcast.

• In typical fashion, Trump has both urged Congress to pass this plan and promised that he won’t “touch” Medicaid, Medicare or Social Security. So nobody really knows WTF he’s really thinking. Leadership!

• The left is united in this battle: “Medicaid provides 40% of the funding for community health centers. Medicaid supports 2 out of 3 people in nursing homes. Medicaid provides health care to 41 million children,” Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) said today. “Trump and his Republican friends want to enact massive cuts to the program. We won’t let them.”

• MAGAworld is praying that the math will magically add up. A reporter asked Johnson today: Can you say unequivocally that down the line, there won’t be cuts to Medicaid programs? He responded: “Medicaid is hugely problematic because it has a lot of fraud, waste, and abuse.”

• Okay, sure, there are problems with the program, just like most government initiatives (and literally everything in life). That’s why we have watchdogs to find fraud and abuse — though Trump fired more than a dozen of them. Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) warned about the dangers of haphazard cuts: “At what point do you stop cutting into the fat and start cutting into the bone? You can’t pull the rug out from millions of people,” he told Politico.

Congress has to pass a spending plan by March 14, otherwise the government could shut down. What a good start to Trump 2.0!

NEWS NEWS NEWS

Donald Trump’s top federal prosecutor in Washington, D.C. refused to sign an arrest warrant for MAGA Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) after he was arrested for allegedly assaulting a 27-year-old woman in the city. The details are still fuzzy, but this is the same prosecutor who threatened to go after anyone who talks shit about Elon Musk.

Nearly 40 percent of the government contracts canceled by Musk’s DOGE aren’t expected to save any money… according to the department’s own data. That’s because much of the money has already been spent: “It’s like confiscating used ammunition after it’s been shot when there’s nothing left in it. It doesn’t accomplish any policy objective,” one expert told the Associated Press. Perfect efficiency!

Musk said federal workers have a “second chance” to justify their work — or they’ll be fired. That came shortly after the White House blocked his plan to fire any workers who didn’t email DOGE about what they’ve been doing. “Failure to respond a second time will result in termination,” Musk wrote on X. Great morale boost! Even DOGE employees don’t want to work for you anymore.

House Democrats estimate that almost 6,000 veterans have been fired by DOGE since Trump took office. Nothing says America First like firing the vets!

A group of military contractors brought a $25 billion plan to Trump that would involve deporting 12 million people by the 2026 midterms, Politico reports. It would stand up a small private “army” of citizens allowed to make arrests, “processing camps” on military bases, and a private fleet of 100 planes, per a document obtained by the outlet.

The White House said that it’ll determine which reporters and outlets will have access to the press pool — a rotating position that allows journalists to shadow the president in the Oval Office, on board Air Force One, and in other spaces with limited room. For decades, an independent group of journalists had decided who gets access. “This move tears at the independence of a free press in the United States,” said Eugene Daniels, president of White House Correspondents’ Association board. Yeah, and it means some outlet with a name like “America First Freedom MAGA-Nation TV” will get to ask all the questions.

The Trump administration plans to keep the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau open in some capacity, according to a new court filing. The organization protects against major companies taking advantage of average people — and now Elon Musk!

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin said that American companies could make a lot of money by doing business with Russia. He floated the idea of mining rare earth minerals that’s in Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory. The bromance is steamy these days.

Meanwhile, Ukraine will agree to Trump’s deal to jointly develop its critical minerals, oil and gas, Bloomberg reports. The deal doesn’t offer Ukraine anything security guarantees in return. Tony Soprano would be proud of the president.

A Southwest Airlines passenger plane narrowly missed colliding with a private jet on a runway at Chicago Midway International Airport today. And by narrowly, I really mean narrowly.

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